Superforecasting Summary of Key Points

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner dives into the world of forecasting, challenging the notion that the future is fundamentally unpredictable. The book presents compelling evidence from the Good Judgment Project, which demonstrates that certain individuals, dubbed ‘superforecasters,’ can predict future events with remarkable accuracy. These superforecasters possess qualities such as open-mindedness, diligence, numeracy, and a willingness to update their beliefs in light of new evidence. Tetlock and Gardner dissect the methodologies these individuals employ, offering insights into how forecasting accuracy can be significantly improved through specific habits of mind and practice.

Radical Candor Summary of Key Points

Radical Candor is a book by Kim Scott that provides a guide to those bewildered or exhausted by management, written for bosses and those who manage bosses. Drawing on years of first-hand experience, and distilled clearly giving actionable lessons to the reader; it shows managers how to be successful while retaining their humanity, finding meaning in their job, and creating an environment where people both love their work and their colleagues.